Thread by @evacool_

The map of Syria
Turkish President #Erdogan will meet with his Russian counterpart on January 23 to discuss the future of the Syrian east and the city of Manbij. This comes after a telephone conversation between Erdogan and #Trump before yesterday.1/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia

With the scrutiny of the Turkish, American, Kurdish and Russian military movements in the Syrian east and its surroundings, it is now possible to develop a scenario that will be closest to what will be the map of the Syrian East.2/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran #Israel

In a secret visit to #Ankara a few days ago, a Syrian delegation led by Ahmed al-#Jarba, a leader of a military group of Arabs supported by the International Coalition and #Washington, arrived from the areas of #SDF.3/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran #Israel

The visit came after a prelude by #Bolton during his visit to Ankara. The delegation carried an American offer that this military group takes over the task of protecting the safe area which extends from the Iraqi border to the Euphrates River.4/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia

As this group is Sunni Arabs, #Ankara has not rejected this idea and is likely that coordination between Ankara and #Washington continues, the latter keeping a group of its troops within this region.5/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran #Israel #NATO

Ankara can also set up monitoring centers in coordination with Washington as the Kurdish militias withdraw to the south of the region and #France, #UK , #Italy and #Germany remain with special forces to support the stability of these militia areas.6/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia

Ankara, through its Ministry of Foreign Affairs, has also begun to make offers to Washington by Turkish companies for the reconstruction of the safe area, which will be 20 miles deep, which is welcomed by Washington.7/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran #Israel

At the table of talks between #Erdogan and #Putin in Moscow the future of the #Manbij will be put. Information coming from the south of the city of Manbij confirms the entry of a Russian battalion in coordination with the Kurdish militias.8/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran

#Moscow, which has become aware of the details of what will happen in the Syrian east, will have to accept the sharing between #Ankara and #Washington, but it does not want to come out empty-handed.9/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran

The talk now is that #Moscow will offer to #Ankara to facilitate its enter the area of Manbij in exchange of conceding a large part of the areas of southern #Idlib province, so that the road Latakia-Aleppo will under Russian control.10/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran

A source assured me that #Washington promised #TelAviv to maintain the #AlTanf base on the Syrian-Jordanian border to serve as a barrier for #Tehran to reach #Beirut.11/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Iran #Israel #IDF #IRGC

In this way, #Iran and the #Assad regime are the least winners, since Assad will not be able to recover the oil and gas resources east of the Euphrates and Iran will be under American and Israeli continuous surveillance.12/12
#Syria #Turkey #USA #Russia #Israel #IDF #IRGC