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Judging from various reports, the #ukrainecounteroffensive seems to be a complete disaster, even though this is officially denied by the Western side.

But this analysis by Col. Richard Kemp of the #British military shows no expectations of success.

Col. Kemp uses cautious language, but it is easy to read between the lines. Being a retired Western Colonel, you don't expect him to come out and say openly that #Ukraine️ is going to lose. But that is exactly what he is saying.

Let me explain why the conclusion is clear.

His main points:

1. Surprise is essential for success.

But of course, there is no surprise here. The whole world has been expecting this operation for months. There are no unexpected lines of attack like #Incheon in the #KoreanWar in 1950.

Read 11 tweets
As the #Russians started to study #Leopard tanks they were surprised by the flimsy construction and poor quality.
Leopard armor: in some places the thickness of the roof of the #German tank is 20 mm (up to 15 mm) it appears to have increased brittleness of steel🔽 Image
In fact, the blast wave did not dent in instead it shattered the armor
It turns out that the roof of the Leopard tower is about as good as cardboard.
This was a set up for #Ukranian military that has relied on these tin cans
#Leopard tanks
More zoomed in #Leopard roof with clear failure of the roof. The #Ukranian soldiers inside never had a chance Image
Read 3 tweets
L'affaire #Dorsey

There's been a minor kerfuffle in India for the last two days since the Twitter ex-CEO, Jack Dorsey, @jack, made some statements about freedom of speech in India under #Modi.

A 🧵

#Liberals are gleefully sharing these comments as evidence of #India not being a democratic country, and defenders of the government are going into attack dog mode, as usual.

But many people on both sides are missing some key things here:

1. Dorsey didn't talk only about India. In fact, he also talked about how the #USA government tried to suppress things. As also #Turkey, #Nigeria.

2. This points to a deeper issue underlying the whole controversy: Is #FreedomOfSpeech absolute?

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My President @ZelenskyyUa commanded me to check all #bombshelters in Kyiv in 10 days.

It happened after 3 people died in front of a closed shelter in Kyiv during another shelling by #russians.

Danger: long 🧵 ahead.
Yes, it's #russsians who are responsible for those deaths. No argue.

But it’s we, who could save those lives. If our shelters were properly functioning. And actually they should on 464th day of the war.
After finishing my day work in the ministry, I started digging in the shelters issue. I read reports and met people. And I must say the issue seems to be complicated.
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"It’s a best money we’ve ever spent"

US Senator Lindsey Graham, during a meeting with Volodymyr Zelenskyy, called the death of Russians - the best spent of US money.
🤡 Alcoholic Medvedev woke up and decided to start his day with threats

"Old fool Senator Lindsey Graham said that the U.S. has never been more successful in spending money than on killing Russians. He was wrong to say so. In his beloved America, not only are ordinary people…… Image
The head of the Investigative Committee of the #Russian Federation, Bastrykin, instructed to open a criminal case after the statements of US Senator Lindsey #Graham about the "murder of Russians." Image
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#ItsDone #SunakBomba N°2.
cc: @ Circonscripti18
#Russian intelligence confirms that the #NATO-#Ukrainian #terrorist regime is preparing to seize the #Zaporizhzhia #NPP by crossing the #Dnieper. This was also announced by the PDT of the "We are with Russia" movement V. #Rogov ImageImageImage
Next #FalseFlag in the #HeavenlyJerusalem - #Zaporizhzhia.
#Satanic #Zionists do not care about the lifes of the #goyims, cuz according to the #Talmud they are comparable to #insects and must be eliminated.

- #AshkeNAZI #Zelensky at #MSC: "#AtomicBomb" Image
Chapter II.
#Christians are to be #Exterminated
- Art. 1. Christians to be Harmed #Indirectly
- Art. 2. Christians to be Harmed #Directly

#mRNA-#WEF-#UkraineWAR-#WW3 Revelation 3 9 Look at thos...The Talmud Unmasked  [The S...
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Any military operation that has been expected for months usually fails because the opponent has had plenty of time to plan a defence. Most successful operations are surprise operations, but not all surprise attacks work against a prepared opponent.

Expected attacks can work if there's overwhelming force. An example is #DesertStorm.

Example of successful surprise operations: #PearlHarbor, The #Incheon Landings in the #KoreanWar, #OperationUranus at #Stalingrad in October 1942 that encircled the #German #SixthArmy.

An example of a failed attack because there was no surprise in it was #OperationCitadel at the #BattleofKursk in June 1943. The expected line of attack was obvious to everyone because of the disposition of troops.

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You can be that way if you'd like, Daniel. No one's upset that you're a #Kremlin employee. Everyone has to make a living, right? 🤷‍♂️

Just understand that we shall continue to obstruct #Russia's plainly obvious #war of conquest—apparently your definition of "#warmongering."
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I'd probably miss the old #Soviet days too if I was you. We can understand your desire to rebuild the old empire.

Although, for the sake of your mental health, I hope you're not too overly nostalgic. Now that we know what you're up to, we'll certainly thwart your ambitions.
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We'd had high hopes that you'd choose a more enlightened means of restoring your respectability. 🌍

Unfortunately, like the fellow in Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade film who foolishly drank from the necrotizing holy grail instead of the real one, "you've chosen poorly."
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#Ukraine Banning Pro-russian TV Stations and Political Parties - #Disinformation #Overview Image

“This is a recurring #disinformation narrative by pro-#Kremlin media about the West’s purported attempts to interfere in #Ukrainian politics and set the #political establishment there against #Russia.
In reality, neither pro-#Kremlin parties nor #politicians nor #media are #persecuted in #Ukraine as long as they obey the #law.
Read 25 tweets
🇺🇸#USA 🇪🇺#EU

Eva Karene Bartlett:

Overall excellent summary by Colonel Douglas #Macgregor of 🇺🇸#US/West's anti-Russia propaganda & instigation of Ukraine coup, US/#NATO moving east to 🇷🇺#Russia's borders, 🇺🇦#Ukraine &
its backers' ignoring of #Minsk agreements & pushing Russia to defend itself & its people.

"Russia is by no means the evil aggressor in this thing. If anything, Russia launched an operation that it felt it had to to secure its country.
We have been working tirelessly for at least the last 20 years to undermine & weaken 🇷🇺#Russia in whatever way possible.

...In 2014, you had this coup that we helped to organize & implement, which put people in power that would otherwise never have gotten there.
Read 10 tweets
On #KremlinDroneAttack

Two drones strike against the "#Kremlin", or rather the "presidential residence in the Kremlin", is, of course, staging. The operation was developed under the personal direction of Security Council Secretary Nikolai #Patrushev,...
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with the assistance and coordination of the Presidential Security Service, and was approved in its final version by Vladimir #Putin. Putin likes it when an operation solves several problems at once. This time is not an exception.
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First, the president must have a serious reason for introducing martial law, cancelling the parade in Moscow (or reducing and changing the format of his participation in the Victory Day parade on May 9). Second, on the eve of a large counteroffensive by #Ukraine to show...
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@Europarl_EN #Merkel and #Hollande admit the west didn't want to achieve #peace in the #Donbas through the #MinskAgreements (2014 and 2015).
- They wanted to give the coup regime in #Kiev TIME to #prepare for #war - to help #CRUSH #ETHNIC #Russians Dec 28, 2022
@Europarl_EN cc: @ TaranQ
German '#Merkel' (#Hitler's daughter) in an interview with the German newspaper #DieZeit:
- "The 2014 #MinskAgreement was an attempt to give Ukraine #time. They used that time to get stronger, which you can see today.
Read 16 tweets
Hot Take: Strategic Bombers are obsolete!!
#USAF & #Indianairforce engaged in #Copeindia2023 & the former bought #B1B and are making #B21. The #Chinese are building new H-6Ks. The #Russians are building new #Tu160. You ask, #εpsilon why do you think bombers are obsolete? Image
Coz, in a peer conflict, none of these will be used as strategic bombers as that role is behind them. These will be used as #Cruisemissile carriers that will never do old school bombing until all enemy AD is down. Pic credits: #Indianairforce Image
Look at #Russians for eg. In #Syria, they used #Tu22M as old school bombers as the AD threat was very low. In #Ukraine, these are launching missiles from well inside #Russian and #Belarussian territories. Image
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Lets list in my opinion the worst decisions taken or nearly taken by largest navies around the world. #εpsilon Image
The #USNavy #Zumwaltclass destroyers were supposed to have #AGS capable of firing ultra long range 155mm shells, have no shells as they were canceled. Now, to re-add the X-factor the #USN is replacing AGS guns with VLS for upto 12 hypersonic missiles. Costing a lot of $$$$$$$$$s Image
Once the greatest #Navy on Earth, decided it was too great and powerful to have a ship mounted AShM. The #Brits decided #RoyalNavy could retire its #Harpoons without procuring a replacement anytime soon. Luckily , it didnt happen. This is why I feel #UK will cause #AUKUS to fail? Image
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On #Putin's visit to #Ukraine

A man resembling the President of #Russia continues to travel through the occupied territories of Ukraine. The recent visits by the double to Crimea and Mariupol pleased Putin & his entourage so much that it was decided to continue such events.
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This time, the understudy flew in, just like in a children's song, like a magician in a blue helicopter, visited the headquarters of the group of troops in the Kherson direction, and even received reports from the generals.
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At the same time, the worst and oldest car was chosen for the movement of the presidential understudy. The car, as part of a small column, traveled around the endless fields of the Kherson region. It is necessary to convince the #Russians that...
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@NATO Sc. pres #Niinistö has not had a #mandate to sign laws.
THREAD 13 Finland #ElectionsCrimes
FROM: #Finland's #PresidentialElections 2018.
TO: The #IPU. In 2015 #ParliamentaryElections their votes were #RESET in the #ElectionNight.
@NATO cc:@ janus_putkonen
An illegal #NATO #coup to the end, and such systematic #fraud is certainly not thoughtless. Any other #NATO member country can use the harsh truth to throw #Finland out of NATO or leave it to its own... Image
@NATO #Niinistö took #Finland to the #Euro zone with #treason (a crime that does not expire), and now we are going to #NATO even though the #Paris #PeaceTreaty is still #valid with #Russia and #prevents Finland from becoming a NATO member.
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This is a opposite #whatwerethedesignersthinking thread. The #Russians built a 5,000 tonne frigate that has more missiles than several larger contemporaries. It has 16 AShMs VLS (2 3S14 8 cell UKSK modules) and 32 Redut SAM VLS for 9M96E 40 km and 9M96E2 120 km missiles. #εpsilon Image
My very scientific metric 115 tonne per missile (I know it is not scientific, just a fun metric). For eg. #Indian #Kolkataclass is 154 tonne per missile, #British #Daringclass is 168 tonne per missile. But, those are destroyers and have larger stores for longer deployments Image
It is funny that these frigates have the same peer armament as #IndianNavy MF-STAR destroyers with equally potent AD & AShMs at 2/3rds the displacement which limits endurance for this #Russian ship. The Gorkys are based on elongated Krivak/#Talwarclass/Admiral Grigorovich hulls.. Image
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இரண்டாம் உலகப் போரின்போது, சில வாரங்களுக்குப் பிறகு, ஒரு வீரருக்கு வீட்டிற்குச் செல்ல விடுமுறை கிடைத்தது.

தனது வீட்டின் அருகே உள்ள தெருவை அந்த வீரர் அடைந்தார். அங்கு நிறுத்தப்பட்டிருந்த இராணுவ வாகனங்களில் சடலங்கள் ஏற்றப்பட்டிருப்பதைப் பார்த்ததும்..
..எதிரிகள் தனது நகரத்தில் குண்டு வீசியுள்ளனர் என்பதைப் புரிந்துகொண்டார்.

டஜன் கணக்கில் சடலங்கள் கூட்டுக் கல்லறைக்கு எடுத்துச் செல்லப்பட தயார் நிலையில் இருந்தன. அடுக்கப்பட்ட சடலங்களின் முன்னால் அந்த சிப்பாய் சற்றுநேரம் நின்றார்.
ஒரு பெண்ணின் பாதத்தில் இருந்த பாதணிகளை அவர் திடீரெனக் கவனித்தார்.முன்பு தனது மனைவிக்காக வாங்கி வந்த ஷூ போல் இருந்தது.

உடனே வீட்டுக்கு ஓடினார். வீட்டில் யாரும் இல்லை.வேகமாகத் திரும்பிச் வந்து வாகனத்தில் இருந்த அந்த உடலைப் பரிசோதித்தார்.அது அவரது மனைவியேதான். அதிர்ச்சியடைந்தார்.
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1. If #Ukraine can figure out a way to put a mechanized force across the #Dnipro at #Kherson, #NATO supplied armor force that has arrived could be used for a lightning strike on #Mariupol from #Vuhledar while a second force moves from #Kherson to cut Russian escape at #Armiansk.
2. With only the #Crimean bridges at #Chongar and #Henichesk available to withdraw the dilemma created by possible loss of #Mariupol could start a rout that will see #Russians abandoning more equipment to be able to escape into Crimea or in the east towards #Donetsk or #Rostov.
3. #Zalenskyy's visit to #Zaporizhia may suggest this is the plan. But guessing the #Ukrainian moves has proven a fool's errand. Just making the #Kremlin contemplate the capture of 50,000 Russian soldiers might be enough to get #Putin to withdraw especially
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My Indian followers,#Russians have benefitted a lot from you guys designing and purchasing #Russian origin gear for them to swoop in and buy some you guys paid to develop or revive. Exhibit A: Su-30MKI becomes Su-30SM. #εpsilon ImageImage
There are two distinct #Su30 lines, #Indian #Su30MKI at Irkut plant and its derivatives and #Chinese #Su30MKK at KNAAPO plant and its derivatives. The Su-30SM, bought in nos is from MKI lineage. To be fair #Russianairforce also bought 18 Su-30M2s to keep KNAAPO busy before #Su35S ImageImage
Exhibit B: MiG-29K operated by the #IndianNavy made sure that the #Russians can buy a few for themselves after the #Indian production run was done. Else, they might have stuck to upgrading their Su-33s in the long run. ImageImage
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@EU_Commission @IntlCrimCourt Children of #Donbass - THE #WAR IS ON! CHILDREN vs THE #NAZIS | 5 months ago…
#SaveOurChildren deNAZIfication - Special Military QperationZ WORLDWIDE
@EU_Commission @IntlCrimCourt cc: @ DaniMayakovski
#Ukraine. Images from the #Azov Battalion children's camp, where children from the age of 8 are #brainwashed into #Nazism and prepared militarily by indoctrinating them into a #hatred of #killing Russians. (2015)
@EU_Commission @IntlCrimCourt Ukrainian children drugged and indoctrinated by the #Nazis into shouting the #Hitler salute of "#SiegHeil" while being laughed at. (2016)
This video was captured from the flash drive of a press reporter from the #AzovBattalion at the #Mariupol base.
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Our previous threads on naval vessels have highlighted the lack of AD on #Pakistan's #Zulfiqarclass, lack of any missiles on #Indian #Kamortaclass. But does an ideally armed vessel for its size look like? The #Russian Stereguschchiy class says hi! #εpsilon Image
These are sadly the only two blue water capable naval surface vessels #Russians have been able to produce in numbers. With 8 (including related Gremyashchiy) in service and 20+ planned, these will be the bulk of the #RussianNavy fleet Image
For a 2,000 tonne corvette the Stereguschchiys have 16 SAMs derived from the S350/S400 9M96 family of missiles capable of 40 km to 120 km engagement zone. The lead ship lacks this and has a Kashtan CIWS on the bow. They carry 8 Kh-35s as well. Gremyashchiys have a UKSK module... Image
Read 5 tweets

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