Thread by @sibeledmonds

Urging Calm Amidst Hysteria On #Turkey #Syria- 1- Without explicit green-light from #USA it will be a very limited (for show) maneuver; 2- This is being used here in #Turkey for temporary political gain (uniting the opposition with current admin); 3- #Russia also has put limits

Take in the macro picture (Forest instead of the trees): A major offensive by #Turkey is opposed by: #USA #Syria #Russia & #Iran. Only a brief limited muscle-flexing show is allowed. #GeopoliticalTheater

Here it is #Turkey “Still Preparing”. For the last 5 days, 1 minute they say “we are going in shortly, as in the next 24 hrs”, the next minute “we are preparing” or “we are waiting for XYZ ...”. The written on stone “Sep 30” deadline in #Syria expired 9 days and 11 hrs ago.

Turkey's preparations for Syria operation continuing - defense minister/NTV nationalpost.com/pmn/news-pmn/p…

As I’ve said here before: #Turkey did NOT expect #Trump calling it’s “Bluff”- now scrambling & trying to find away to “Save Face” On #Syria

What #Turkey expected with that call to #Trump: For Trump to negotiate on “other” carrots & urge Turkey to refrain. Instead, they were shocked by Trump saying “Okay, go ahead. All the mess there will be yours to deal with from now on. We’ll leave.” Shocked Turkey!

Here it is: #Turkey #USA Discuss Safe-Zone formation for after Turkey is done with the “Limited” Operation Along #Syria Turkey Borders.- - - “Turkey, U.S. discuss steps for Syria 'safe zone' after Turkish offensive” nationalpost.com/pmn/news-pmn/p…

#Turkey begins targeted bombing in Ras Al-Ayn #Syria right along Turkey-Syria border. Civilians & US service members were evacuated 2.5 days ago. The media here in Turkey trying to give the “Shock & Awe” flare a la #USA #Iraq invasion- again for special effect ...

Meanwhile #Erdogan-#Putin talking. As I’ve said before #Russia, just like #USA has permitted #Turkey “A Very Limited” green-light for a Very Limited time.. #Syria

Here’s a decent analysis summing up what I predicted yesterday:After #Trump not blinking & Calling Turkey’s “Bluff”, #Turkey is scrambling, trying to back-walk all previous talks on #Suria.- - - “Erdoğan's Syrian incursion could be his biggest gamble yet theguardian.com/world/2019/oct…

Scattered confirmation of “Limited & Controlled” #Turkey #Syria Operation Slowly Surfacing. This latest by FT confirms what I Disseminated yesterday urging calm- - -“Limited Syria incursion seen as Erdogan’s most likely option” ft.com/content/8ccfb8…

As with #S400 Case US #Congress Sanctions Threat Against #Turkey Appears to be “For-Show” Only. After a quick dip yesterday Turkish #Currency began recovering a bit. Behind-the-Scene everyone knows that this #Syria Op will be very limited & quietly under control by #USA #Russia

Based on my US military sources in the region here: #Turkey is clearing every single move with #USA in this #Syria Op. Every single action awaits “Clearance” from US.As I’ve said before this is a Limited & Controlled maneuver- Don’t listen to MSM Hysteria.

By #MSM I meant not only Western but also those here in #Turkey. Over here it is a major PR campaign a la #USA-#Iraq “Shock & Awe” to excite & rally people via pushing all the Nationalism buttons. Over there in the States: “Disaster Hysteria” targeting partisanship Fever.

Let’s Put On The “Critical Thinking” Hat in order to see through #MSM PsyOp on this: 1- Why haven’t we heard/seen any action from #Assad #Syria on this supposed #Turkey invasion? 2-Why #Russia has remained calm & quiet? Because of a “Limited Maneuver” Agreed-Upon by all involved

#Breaking Update #Turkey #Syria- Just received the following “Inside Info” on why NO word from #Russia or #Assad (1 source so far): per agreement by all 3 parties (Russia-USA-Assad Gov) as a Limited Op right before formalizing the new Syria Constitutional Gov with Turkey On Board

According to my insider source: “This was sort of a perk given to #Turkey in return for it’s commitment to recognize & get on board with the very-soon-to-come #Syria elections for #Assad & the end of Syria war chapter...”. #USA has also unofficially given “wink & nod.”

No wonder why #HillaryClinton & the rest of #ISIS formation & #Syria Conflict architects have been FUMING & Foaming at the mouth!!!!

Finally! A straight-forward analysis based on “Sense & Sensibility” On #Turkey-#Syria-#Kurds. One sensible editorial in the sea of hysterical misinfo campaign perpetuated by the #MSM. - - - “Turkey and the Kurds: It’s More Complicated Than You Think” nationalreview.com/2019/10/turkey…

#USA Says “So Far #Turkey Ops in #Syria Humane” & confirms my inside source’s claim that “every military action by #Turkey coordinated & cleared by US first.”- - - “Turkey hasn’t breached lines of ‘humane’ operation in Syria, US official says” sabahdai.ly/ajx4hg

As you know, during #UN meeting yesterday both #Russia & #USA supported the new #Turkey #Syria Op. which again confirms what I announced here 2 days ago: Contrary to appearances this is a “Limited & Tightly Controlled” op sanctioned by Russia-US & #Assad Gov

#Turkey #Syria -As we all can see,realities on the ground contradict the brouhaha & Hysteria promoted by #MSM. Instead of further conflict we have action plan agreed upon by #USA #Russia #Syria Gov.I don’t know about yours, but in my book this is not the disaster claimed by MSM

#MI6’s ex-Al-Qaeda spy on why #Trump withdrew from northern #Syria , the Trap for #Turkey, and how this may have saved #NATO from crisis. Interesting Take. - - - rt.com/shows/going-un… #

I listened to the whole segment. The guy makes sense. He also characterized #MSM Hysteria & Fearmongering on this as nonsense. #Turkey #Syria

This is why I keep stressing #Turkey’s need for a solid English language international media outfit! As we can see without it they are paralyzed when it comes to effectively countering the one-sided media/PR assaults. Currently there is NOT 1 media outlet here worth following

Bu #Suriye-#Türkiye operasyonda Türkiye’nin medya zaafı yine belirginleşiyor. Tüm uluslararası medya kaynakları tek taraflı Ve “disinformation” yayarken bu ülke etkili İngilizce medya yoksunluğu ile aciz kalıyor. Bilhassa bu “psikolojik savaş” çağında bu durumda olmak!

#Kurdish-Led #SDF Pushes #ISIS Prisoners Line- Again, Says “ISIS Prisoners No Longer Our Responsibility!”. So far 5 high-profile prisoners out while the fate of 1000s still in limbo. #Turkey #Syria newsweek.com/kurdish-sdf-fo…

Facing One-Sided Hysteric #MSM Attacks #Turkey Media remains passive & inept: So Far not a single media outlet here has been able to coherently explain & counter the nonstop exaggerated & spun media headlines.

For example, take this NBC Headline. For the last 5 years N. #Syria has been dealing with humanitarian crises. The crises did not start with #Turkey’s recent ops. The area has been the battleground for dozens of groups & forces.

Again I am not representing or defending one side against another (I am ANTI-War!)- I am just pointing out to the lope-sided media engaged in Information Warfare- acting as the representatives of the #Neolib agenda instead of being journalists. #Turkey #Syria

Trying to do my best reporting from #Turkey With solid sources here and abroad- but the limited resources & time make it hard. #Syria #Turkey

3 Days After #Turkey #Syria Op began & my Pinned tweet thread:
marinecorpstimes.com/flashpoints/20…

#FakeNews Has Gone on Steroid In #Trump #Turkey #Syria. Just checkout this headline and you’ll understand what I’m talking about!!!

On #Turkey #SyriaOp: While #EU Countries (France, Germany, Italy ...) Carrying on with Cosmetic Temp Weapons Sanctions & “Hysteria On Steroid”, #USA #Trump, #Russia #Putin & #Syria #Assad Seem All Calm and “Quietly” on Board. Now ask yourself: Which Side Truly Matter on #Syria?

Via @ragipsoylu:

—NATO allies that ended arms exports
• Italy 🇮🇹
• France 🇫🇷
• The Netherlands🇳🇱
• Norway 🇳🇴
• Germany 🇩🇪

—Non-NATO that suspended arms exports
• Finland 🇫🇮

—Others pushing for EU-wide
• Sweden 🇸🇪

Now let’s ask what each side is “really” seeking on #Syria: #Syria’s #Assad, #Russia’s #Putin & #Trump want to end this quagmire & speed up the process for the new Syria Constitution with elections for Assad ...; As for #EU #Neoliberals: Continue the mess for years to come ...

Let’s put it out bluntly: we all know that #EU does not give a hoot about civilian casualties in the #MiddleEast & Don’t give a hoot about this or that minority group over there. Think #Yemen. Think #Libya. Look at the total blackout on recent massacres in #Iraq.

And one last point here- Look at the one-sided Media #MSM: Which side are they representing? The Hysteria & Bashing for one side (#Russua #Trump #Turkey) and nonstop advocacy & promo for the other (#Hawks & #Neoliberals For ex: How ironic to see them promoting #LindseyGraham!!!!!

It is not my intention to blow my own horn for ego purposes, but I believe what I’ve been reporting real time from #Turkey on #Syria Op for the last 5 days (See the Entire thread) all of which 100% contradicted #MSM, has been confirmed & come through. Ready for next predictions?

Okay, 1st allow me to Recap what I reported on #Turkey #Syria Op & #Trump’s decision: This Entire Turkey Operation was Weighted & Discussed for Weeks among #USA #Russia Turkey & on the side, with #Assad Gov. As you know both US-Russia took Turkey’s side in the recent UN meeting

The only “unexpected” in this latest was: to #Turkey’s Surprise, #Trump giving the go-ahead but without any #USA troops involvement. For Trump’s part that was one savvy strategic move to use the opportunity for an exit that should have taken place long time ago. To be cont ...

Now, #MSM’s latest Hysteria-Pumping on the Coming #Syria’s #Assad forces getting ready to confront #Turkey in N. #Syria “Very Unlikely”. Because:’1-The #Kurdish Factions already made a deal with #Assad; 2-Turkey’s already agreed 2 the coming new Const Gov to-be led by Assad ...

...3- #Russias #Putin has been playing as a mediator between #Assad #Erdogan and the #Kurds. This is why we did not see or hear anything from Russia or Assad Gov during this entire #Turkey #Syria Op. 4- #Trump made his strategy work for #USA: Getting out of Syria Quagmire

I’d say it is highly likely that #Turkey #Syria Op will end before the end of this week. Amusingly everyone will declare victory: #Turkey’s #Erdogan will have something similar to GWB’s “#MissionAccomplished” mantra/promo. #Assad will have his “I finally liberated Syria” line.

#Trump can accurately claim that he kept his campaign promise and got the US Troops out of Syria Swamp created by #Obama-#Clinton before it turned to Vietnam 2.0

As for #ISIS & #Turkey-#Kurds conflicts on #Syria: They will continue in smaller scale but for a long time. #Russia’s #Putin is in need of focusing domestically since Russian discontent with #Syria involvement has increased. So, good for Putin presidency as well.

Now, if we were to chronologically line up the winners in n this #Turkey #Syria Op: 1- #Trump’s #USA 2- #Russia’s #Putin; 3- #Assad Gov; As far as #Turkey goes it is still a toss up: It will depend on the real Between #Assad-#Kurds, and the status of sanctions by #EU & #USA

In this particular case, the reality is the exact opposite of what #MSM is spreading: It was not #Turkey’s #Erdogan calling #Trump’s bluff; it was #Trump calling Turkey’s bluff, and coming out on top: removing the troops from the past & future swampy mess with no end.

#Russia Brokered the Deal Between #Syria’s #Assad Gov & the #Kurds: With Russia’s Backing Assad forces to clear N. #Syria borders from #Turkey troops. Meaning: The Deal’s very close. Turkey will NOT go against Russia-Assad Coalition. No way. theguardian.com/world/2019/oct…

You see: Contrary to what #MSM been spreading, #Kurdish Factions were not abandoned to be wiped out. With this #Russia-#Assad-#Kurds Deal there will be no major “genocide” as predicted by fear-mongering disinfo Media. Next: Russia facilitating a deal between #Turkey & Assad.

This was the main reason I urged being calm in face of #MSM intentionally painting a doom-gloom Picture with loads of disinfo-Misinfo. When soon they prove to be all wrong, will they applaud #Trump’s decision to call #Turkey’s bluff & facilitate US Troops’ exit? Don’t think so😉

Now, shall we start the #countdown for #Turkey-#Assad Deal, and the exit of Turkish Troops From N. #Syria (even with “mission accomplished” march”)? I’d say maximum 7 days-starting now. How about you?

Here’s via @ragipsoylu: Erdogan seems okay with Assad taking over below the Turkish safe zone:
“[What happens] beyond the 32km deep safe zone is up to US &!Assad regime. Because regime wants to be in. We may only take steps to provide logistical support to US-led coalition”...

#Qatar-Owned #Aljazeera trying to market & sell “#USA-#EU Backed (& paid for) #Syria #Safezone solution 4 #Turkey-#Kurds issue.This is what Turkey wanted/wants but did NOT get from #Trump.- - “What should the US,NATO do about Turkey's operation in Syria?” aljazeera.com/indepth/opinio…

The pressure-dance between #Turkey & #USA that went on 4 months was all about this: Turkey kept saying “U guys (US-NATO) Go into #Syria with us & establish this big of #Safezone (& pay 4 it), then give it to us OR,we’ll do it solo.” #Trump finally said “OK, go ahead solo if U can

Half of this #MSM headline is accurate (only half): #Russis is brokering a Deal Between #Assad Gov & #Kurds In #Syria, Big not to fight #Turkey but to broker the next Deal Between Turkey-Assad-Kurds. - - - noqreport.com/2019/10/14/rus…

#Breaking- Talking from both sides of it’s mouth? After criticizing #USA withdrawal from N. #Syria, #France begins process to withdraw #French troops from NE Syria. #Turkey #Kurds - - - UPDATE news.yahoo.com/1-france-says-…

So typical with #EU: Tough-Talk & expectations as long as “someone else” (ahem, you know whom?) foots the Bill & gets the job done😉 - - - news.yahoo.com/1-france-says-…

I’m going to pose a very important question here for all, including my friends here in #Turkey: Who is going to foot the bill for this XX Km #Syria #SafeZone with 1000s of buildings, schools-hospitals etc proposed by #Turkey to send back 2+ million Syrian #refugees? Any clue?!!

You see that was one of #Turkey’s demand from #Trump during those months-long negotiations on N. #Syria: “We want your troops help us get the area, establish our proposed safe zone & foot the bill as well. But hey, we make it “our” project if succeeds”?

My main point here: It is not what #Media #MSM paints. It is not that linear and simple. They don’t provide even 1/10 of real facts to the people. They give some made-up dumbed-Down bullet points & headlines to “manipulate hearts & minds.”

#Breaking- #Assad’s #Syria Army is now deployed to country’s northeast to counter #Turkey troops advancement. #Russia backs Assad’s move. Stay tuned. The deal is “Near”. rt.com/news/470874-sy…

#Assad’s #Syria Army Enters #Turkey Bordertown. Other than Russian media and less than a handful small media outlets there is NO coverage of this.- - - “Syrian Kurds shift alliance and make deal with Assad government to resist Turkey” haaretz.com/middle-east-ne…

So far Blackout of this new #Syria developments in #EU, #US #Turkey #MSM

Report by 1 #Turkey media outlet on #Assad #Syria Army entering the area- - - “'Suriye Ordusu Tabka'ya giriş yaptı' cumhuriyet.com.tr/1627443 #Cumhuriyet #cumhuriyetgzt

#Turkey #Syria #Kurds First #USA media outlet reports: Report: Syrian troops enter town close to Turkey's border chicagotribune.com/sns-bc-syria-2…

Investors rattled? #Turkey #Currency #TL approaches 6TL-#USD as #Syria op nears critical point. (See Screenshot)

Always keep an eye on #currency. Far better indicator than all the smoke & Misinfo printed in media

Right Now All Eyes Should Be In #Russia. This is about the point where #Putin brokers “the deal” made months ago between #Assad #Syria Gov & #Turkey’s #Erdogan. Just watch and see how it will unfold.

During this stage Ignore all the Western #MSM and those in #Turkey, and keep your eye on #Russia media. That’s where the first “real” Step will come from on #Syria Op #Turkey

“On” Russia not “in”!

via #UK media: #Assad #Syria troops enter Kurdish fight against #Turkey forces theguardian.com/world/2019/oct…

#Breaking: #Russia signals coming Deal & assures: “The Risk Of #Turkey #Assad Troops Clash is Very Low.”As I said 6 days ago, keep calm- this very Limited-Controlled Op will end soon.- - - “Russian lawmaker says risk of open Turkish-Syrian conflict is low” nationalpost.com/pmn/news-pmn/p…

Tune out Western #MSM, even fluff posturing Turkish media. Right now it is down to last move by the only important party on #Turkey #Syria Op: #RUSSIA!!

#Putin #Assad #Erdogan inches away from a deal. Contrary to Hysteric #MSM predictions: 1- No Chance Of Major human Toll In N. #Syria #Kurds; 2- #Turkey & #Assad Clashes very unlikely; 3- End of Turkey Op soon with a “modified” Syria safezone & borders-Kurdish arrangements.

On #Syria-#Turkey Op: Tune out Western #MSM. Disregard posturing #Turkey media. The facts then will surface based on what’s really happening with #Russia mediating with full consent from #USA on the deal to end this disastrous Syria #Quagmire brought on by #Obama-#Clinton WH!!

#Syria-#Turkey Op #Flashback from 5 Days Ago

With #Russia’s #Putin Stepping in Supporting #Assad, #USA #Trump #Sanction Threats Hovering Above, there is no chance for #Turkey to step out of the line on #Syria Op. No Way.

My countdown point:
voanews.com/europe/kremlin…

Now, let’s see what happens to the status of #USA #Sanction plans for #Turkey. Sanctions status: when #Turkey halts #Syria Ops per agreement with #Russia & #Assad (I believe very soon). Sanctions Status: If this drags on (as #Putin said “very unlikely”).

The thing is: what would be the purpose of these “delayed” #USA #sanctions, if by the time they are implemented ;a big “If”), #Turkey already halted ops & out? They were using it as some ineffective pressure point to deter Turkey. What’d be the point after the fact?!

Is #Trump #WhiteHouse going to specifically target & sanction #Turkey Pres. #Erdogan? I still don’t see it likely, but admin insiders say it is.- - - ”After #Syria incursion, White House mulls sanctions on Erdogan” almon.co/39oq via @AlMonitor

Don’t know about you but I seriously believe #LindseyGraham is a mentally disturbed individual. I am not saying this as an attack- just observation over the years. Severely disturbed.

What Happened to Hard-Core #ISIS Prisoners In N. #Syria. #Kurds claim they were freed by #Turkey ally forces (some of these allies are as bad as ISIS). Turkey claims they were released by #Kurds to score point & getting international attention.Fog of War? Something more Sinister?

Here’s what #Turkey Claims